Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 401.975707 456.007881 515.742998 586.873573 669.514178 762.794457 876.468516
2026-01-25 314.283724 383.671395 467.150289 575.740579 714.367769 886.894227 1120.169856
2026-02-01 275.967109 353.969677 453.369193 590.850562 778.468601 1029.049200 1394.975754
2026-02-08 243.239815 324.299560 432.386101 589.402091 815.603907 1135.835843 1634.729948
2026-02-15 216.776931 298.508084 411.720854 583.190483 842.002797 1227.499577 1863.518858
2026-02-22 198.619377 281.529797 400.380453 587.349517 881.913185 1341.901957 2143.043118
2026-03-01 180.040395 261.605201 382.032112 577.837398 898.157024 1419.815932 2373.733321
2026-03-08 165.581063 246.147199 368.389287 573.349354 920.717625 1509.423620 2637.544530
2026-03-15 149.281801 226.229541 345.709953 551.361717 910.667290 1541.029002 2799.645517
2026-03-22 143.407769 222.039706 347.331711 569.453309 971.176031 1704.444922 3239.962268
2026-03-29 139.021796 219.745153 351.626536 592.262937 1042.506154 1897.310839 3775.094322
2026-04-05 131.208620 211.059732 344.319476 593.542350 1073.717369 2017.103844 4178.692489
2026-04-12 121.450206 198.480762 329.536447 580.216067 1076.377050 2082.577497 4480.848131
2026-04-19 112.922723 187.372882 316.413441 568.679815 1081.262420 2153.663725 4811.768740
2026-04-26 109.142524 184.241827 317.179457 583.612405 1141.557823 2351.764069 5492.140129
2026-05-03 103.408651 177.144918 310.047077 582.182041 1167.177865 2476.753487 6015.571037
2026-05-10 97.576371 169.419595 301.076516 576.057882 1181.733419 2578.300356 6499.765879
2026-05-17 93.515184 164.656344 297.301129 580.158466 1219.368202 2740.275057 7190.242661
2026-05-24 88.196198 157.144268 287.603882 570.779915 1224.967913 2824.383687 7675.333823
2026-05-31 83.858944 151.207507 280.540996 566.354779 1241.599848 2939.058784 8282.168079
2026-06-07 78.011893 141.971944 266.221003 544.674272 1214.204482 2934.673581 8512.780438
2026-06-14 76.647934 141.430185 269.464803 562.513284 1286.125547 3208.768404 9732.136195
2026-06-21 75.764849 141.771019 274.529539 585.002768 1372.890439 3540.117014 11252.248708